TIPping Point: Quantum Untanglement for Logistics

The Air Force Sustainment Center (AFSC) faces a significant challenge in maintaining the Air Force’s weapon systems: predicting and managing the availability of rarely needed parts. These components, due to their infrequent and unpredictable usage patterns, have been difficult to forecast using traditional methods.
Imagine trying to predict how many spare tires you’ll need for a fleet of delivery trucks—fairly straightforward, right? Now imagine trying to do the same for a specific, rarely used sensor that only needs replacing once every few years on a handful of trucks. That’s the challenge AFSC faces with certain aircraft components.
Previously, AFSC relied on historical usage data, which proved unreliable for these specific parts. This often resulted in an imbalance—a surplus of some components while others were out of stock when needed. For example, they might have ample inventory of a particular engine part but be critically short of a specialized fastener for a different system. Such shortages can lead to aircraft being grounded due to a lack of parts, impacting mission readiness.
To address this, AFSC’s Quantum Computing Integrated Development Team (IDT) is partnering with the Air Force Research Laboratory, industry, and data science experts in the 448th Supply Chain Management Wing to develop cutting-edge, commercially available quantum computing to revolutionize aircraft sustainment. This technology allows more complex calculations, enabling analysis of intricate supply chain factors to generate more accurate predictions than available through traditional analyses

Early results are promising. By using quantum algorithms to analyze two decades of historical demand data in minutes – an impossible feat for classical computers with that much data – the IDT can forecast previously unforecastable items to enable proactive purchasing strategies, mitigate critical material shortages, and bolster mission readiness. Over the next few years, AFSC will iterate and hone the new algorithms’ accuracy, further refining their approach by
- Optimizing inventory for a specific high-priority aircraft fleet: This pilot program, if successful, will likely be expanded to other critical aircraft.
- Evaluating inventory reduction opportunities: The goal is to improve part availability while minimizing storage space requirements.
This project is the Department of Defense’s (DoD) first operational use of quantum computing, and it has the potential to revolutionize Air Force logistics and solve longstanding challenges. Success will pave the way for the 448th and other leading-edge DoD teams to keep tackling other complex issues as the currently rudimentary quantum computing technologies mature.
Many thanks to the 418th Supply Chain Management Squadron and the Air Force Research Lab, who provided the information for this story. If you have any questions for further details, please reach out to Mr. Chris McCorkle ([email protected]); Dr. Kathy-Anne Soderberg ([email protected]); Mr. Edgar Scott ([email protected]); Mrs. Kelly Wright ([email protected]); and Ms. Jenniffer Schmitt ([email protected]).

This article was cleared for public release, reference case AFMC-2025-0013.